http://canada.theoildrum.com/story/2006/12/3/121020/783
Stephan Dion knows about Peak Oil. Why is he not talking about it?
Here is why :
Report from theoildrum, posted by Pascal Gagnon, of Roberval, Lac St Jean region, Dec 2006.
He came this summer in our city and the journalist told him about me and my report about peak oil. He told the journalist (and then me thereafter) that he read the following books : Twilight, Beyond Oil, The Party is over and many other reports.
I personaly sent him a copy of the french report I made and he told me it was one of the few french document available in Canada at this time.
So I think he will steer the party and the politics toward the talking of this problem, which is yet to be done here in Canada, especialy in Quebec.
For those who know french, this is from Pascal's site
Bienvenue à Roberval
Nichée au coeur des grands espaces et seule ville de la région située directement en bordure du lac Saint-Jean, Roberval vit en totale symbiose avec le majestueux plan d'eau qui baigne ses rives.
Au gré des saisons, ce lac - qu'on dit vaste comme une mer et beau comme un océan - offre à la ville et à ses 11000 habitants une étonnante diversité d'activités et des paysages sans cesse renouvelés!
Contact: gagnon_pascal at cgocable dot ca
Homepage: http://www.ville.roberval.qc.ca
Bio: Pascal Gagnon, Bsc CS, undergoind a MS in management. Involved in many aspect of Roberval city life. Working to make our place ready for PO
January 17th, 2007
China: Kingdom of bicycles no more
In the Star the other day.
China: Kingdom of bicycles no more
The most populous country in the world is moving to a car-based economy, which is more bad news for global warming
http://www.thestar.com/opinion/article/170671
As I have pointed out, we have reason to be highly suspicious of China.
Richard
Komoka
No one is ahead of their time, just the rest of humanity is slow to catch on.
January 15th, 2007
Dion's Policy Statement
Hello ~
I thought it might be helpful to the discussion to post this link to Stephane Dion's 54 paged policy statement titled Building a Sustainable Future for Canada: Stephane Dion's Energy and Climate Change.
In the introduction, Executive Summary (page 5), Dion writes:
kind regards,
Songbird
January 15th, 2007
Dion's lofty goals
It's clear he knows about peak oil, but to give the illusion that we can have a sustainable ecomony and use less energy is pure fantacy. As long as people work, as long as the population grows, as long as we allow more immigration, then we must use more energy.
I did find some of his tax measures interesting. I would love to get a tax break on what I have spent, and what I will be spending, to use less energy because it will cost me plenty to do it.
There are a number of items though that are really are only tinkering. Example,
"We can enable 100 000 Canadian homes to install alternative energy generation systems." That's very few homes, about 10%, thus it will have little impact on CO2 emissions and energy savings over all. It will be fine for the people who can afford to do such changes, but it will cost some $20,000 for each home to change over to a system, like geoexchange, so few will be able to afford to install it.
Others like this is not physically or economically practical.
"A net meter allows for the flow of electricity both in and out of a house, enabling
Canadians who produce their own electricity to flow the energy they produce onto the
grid. In other words, all Canadians will be able to reduce their own energy bill by selling
the electricity that they produce."
I've looked into this and visited a home set up with solar panels. He has 20 panels on his roof, and the system in the basement. To make it work, he had to separate key electrical systems in the house that run on this array. About 25% of the home is divided this way, with the other 75% connected to the grid. It was not physically possible to make the whole house off the grid, he would have to have 4 times the panels and array of batteries (about 60 min), lead acid batteries I might add, lead that has to be mined. He hoped that next summer he will be able to sell some, a small faction, of this back to the grid. But it's very small. The point is, the costs to set this up is enormous, at least $25K, his system was more than $30K to set up. Panels are expensive, $1000 each (don't bother with the one's at Canadian Tire, they are small scale). And he informed me that the panels are becoming increasingly hard to get because the demand is outpacing supply. Now add 100,000 homes to this and the supply will not be able to make that demand. So there would be a lag time of many years before factories can ramp up.
Don't forget also that the mining, manufacturing, and transporting of these panels emits CO2, so there would be a lag until the panels replace CO2 emissions that would have to be calculated into this.
Some things are impractical for many people. Example, he harps on about insulating one's home. As an example, my mother-in-law lives in an 85 year old home in the beaches. It's a brick masonary home. There is no insulation between the walls, just 2 inches of air, and then 2 layers of brick. To insulate that home would require a complete renovation. She won't do it, and can't aford to do it even with tax credits. It would cost $30K-40K to do it and produce a truck load of garbage at the same time. Just about all the homes in the area fall under that. Same with my daughter's appartment. No inslation in the building at all, concrete walls and brick, and crappy single pane windows to boot. It would cost more to retrofit the building than it is worth, so it won't be done.
Which brings be to what I have been saying all along. What we can do is tinkering, we will NEVER meet a 60% reduction in CO2 emittions in 40 years and keep our standard of living. Besides in 40 years we will be well on the road to oil decline, and the economy will have already collapsed.
What I found unfathomable is this carbon trading system. Who sets the price? What criteria makes that price? How will it be enforced, and how would honesty be kept. Boy, I see see this system being grossly abused, not to mention make more middle men rich in the process. Someone has to buy and sell these credits on the open market. I can see it now, someone comes up with a method of extracting CO2 out of the atmospher and fix it into solid form, some carbonate of some kind, like Cacium carbonate, and gets credits for doing this and sell those credits to companies that emit CO2. Nice game of musical chairs that will only make greedy traders rich, making products more expensive at the same time.
At least he was right about the carbon tax. Finally someone who sees the folly of that.
Again, it's not physically possible to have a sustainable economy. The economy must grow in order for it to survive. There is so much debt that is expected to be repaid by an increasing growth in the economy. Even the NDP dosen't want the government to put any money on the national debt but instead allow economic growth to wittle it down relative to the GDP (which by that time we will have paid out some 2-3 TRILLION in interest payments alone). Thus any attempt to create a sustainable economy must fail.
Don't like this, too bad, it's reality.
Enough bickering by me, I do have some solutions that are practical, though still not for all, but it will mean very hard choices. I'd be happy to list them.
Richard
No one is ahead of their time, just the rest of humanity is slow to catch on.
January 15th, 2007
Dion wants more homes on NG
In that document Dion put out in his view of how he would handle the enviroment, I kinka got a gasp when he proposes this:
"Let’s take the example of Paul and Linda; a couple with two children living in Newmarket in a single family home built in 1992. Right now, Paul and Linda’s heating costs, based on their 1800 sq ft house and an older electric furnace are about $3 500/year. By switching to a newer high efficiency natural gas furnace at an installed cost of about $2 500, Paul and Linda can cut their heating costs in half to $1 750 a year*. By switching from an older electric water heater to a natural gas water heater at an installed cost of approximately $500 they can save a further
$200 a year."
First off, there are few homes left around that heat with electricity, it was considered an extremely expensive way to heat a home. Our first home was that I and I took it off and put in a super efficient NG furnace, and this was 20 years ago.
But it's the recommendation that we move people to natural gas that surpises me. We know now that this is not an option. (it would also cost much more than $2500 because of the ductwork that would have to be installed too, most electric homes are baseboard.) But I did find encouraging is the comment about moving some to geothermal. It's really our only choice.
Richard
No one is ahead of their time, just the rest of humanity is slow to catch on.
January 12th, 2007
Dion
More at Alt London about Dion:
http://www.altlondon.org/article.php?story=20070112130741755
Apparently Dion has vowed to "be the best partner they (Alberta) ever saw from Ottawa."
(About Fort McMurray: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Mcmurray#Economy)
January 12th, 2007
Dion and Tar Sands
Rightly so. Unless you want to be more dependant on Mid East Oil, who are more "barons" than Canadian companies since they can pump it out of the ground much cheeper than we can extract it by several orders of magnatude. If we are going to spend money on fuels, better that money stays in Canadian and US companies creating Canadian jobs, than the Saudi Royal Family.
Richard
Komoka
No one is ahead of their time, just the rest of humanity is slow to catch on.
January 12th, 2007
Politicians
Interesting!
To Richard's valid points about the Liberal party I will add these questions:
- How would the media and the public react to a politician talking about peak oil?
- Is Dion just an opportunist hoping to join the club of elites (e.g. oil execs) who mean to profit from the coming crisis?
Surely Stephen Harper knows about peak oil as well. After all, he's on board the desperate U.S. Republican quest to capture the world's oil ASAP.
January 12th, 2007
How would the public react?
If my brother is any indication it would be one of party on dude! Use it all up while we can.
If my wife is any indication, she does not want to live through a collapse (we have 3 young grandchildren)
You would get a wide array of responses. GW would be thrown out the window for sure.
But above all I would expect that most would think such politician is crazy, and they know that.
He's Liberal, so the answer would be yes. Their past actions provide enough evidence to support that.
I certainly do not want to freeze in the dark, go without food, so the more they corner the better for us, because if we don't do it the Chinese will do it (as they currently ARE doing it), and we will be starving in our cold dark homes. That desparate "republican" quest will soon be the majority of us, and we will be thanksful they did start that quest. Don't let your distain for the US Presidency (the Democrats will have to do the same thing, right?) cloud your judgment on what HAS TO BE DONE to protect the people, all the people not just rich ones, in North America. Hard choices are around the corner. Old scared cows will be slaughtered.
Richard
Komoka
No one is ahead of their time, just the rest of humanity is slow to catch on.
January 13th, 2007
War frenzy
Richard wrote:
"what HAS TO BE DONE to protect the people, all the people not just rich ones, in North America."
It's downright ridiculous for you to suggest that wars are being waged in the Mid. East for "all the people not just rich ones, in North America." The neo-con Republicans and Conservatives, who share your war frenzy more than other parties, are also more opposed to equality than other parties. The neo-cons are against public health care, progressive tax, etc, more than anyone.
And who will profit from selling the oil stolen from the Mid. East? Who is government money going to for military contracts in the Mid. East? Everyone in North America?
No. Wrong answer.
I've said more here
http://www.relocalize.net/node/5744
about your attempts to drum up war fever through this web forum.
January 11th, 2007
Dion and PO
He isn't saying anything because what we have to do to ward off PO will be at odds with Liberal philosophy.
-- no more immigration
-- deport all illegals
-- rationing fuel
-- more emphasis on the tar sands to make us more independant
-- more nuke plants to suppliment the electrical power we will need
-- more railway lines and fewer truck transport
-- major birth control
-- and a major drop in our standard of living
Plus, Liberals are still dominated by Big Business, and BB is not going to give up without a fight. They need growth to keep the economy going. PO will put an end to that.
So this begs the question, what can Dion actually do? He showed that there was nothing that can be done about climate change, so what makes anyone think he can do anything about PO?
Richard
Komoka
No one is ahead of their time, just the rest of humanity is slow to catch on.
January 16th, 2007
Simmer down gentlemen...
Vigorous and thoughtful discourse is necessary to shake out the weaknesses in arguments and proposed methods to face this challenge that will affect us all. As members of the relocalize network we acknowledge that the responses to this issue will be first and foremost local in nature as they allow individuals like ourselves to greater effect the course of the ship. Bickering over which national party or which international event will not affect those politicians but it will rob of us our energy to imagine and implement effective strategies that may positively affect our immediate area. The benefit of municipal politics and municipal actors is the lack of declared parties that actors work in the best interests of the community without being handcuffed by policies and over arching philosophies. If Bush Senior and Jim Baker can't effectively turn the US ship than a bunch of Canucks who have no vote in US politics won't either. What we can do is continue to share our knowledge, experience and energy to get our own communities ready.
I recently read PO compared to a bear, that peakniks didn't have to outrun the bear, only the unprepared, pausing to bicker while the bear is running down on top of us would seem to an observer a less than appropriate use of time and energy. The outside events of the world are both vexing and beyond our scope to change. I urge you to curtail this discussion about 'shoulds and musts' in places we have no or little influence and focus on the places we can be effective. The fight with PO ignorance is large enough for all of us, let's stick to one battle at a time.
If not you? Then who? If not now? When?
January 17th, 2007
Meaning of Standard of Life
Thank you, that was my point from the beginning, though it's clear I was not clear enough.
It all comes down to people's reaction to change in their standard of living. Which first must be defined. I would define it as the quality and quantity of comfort and pleasure. Any drop in either of these two will be a drop in the standard of living. Just look at Dion the other day giving his speach. Lots of envronomental spending and, what did he say, "tonnes and tonnes of money" to be made. So he is trying to reasure people that they must adhear to Kyoto and at the same time their standard of living will improve. But that is a lie, and if he understands PO he knows it's a lie. But politicians get elected on promising increases in living standards.
Our living standards are supported by oil and natural gas. Doing ANY kind of power down will reduce living standards. It has to. But people have the NIMBY attitude. They will agree with the need to reduce CO2 and reduce energy, but as long as it does not affect them. Hell, they do not even want power generation plants near their homes!!! IDIOTS!!
Thus, if you try to impose some kind of power down you WILL be met with huge resistance, especially if it costs jobs. Once depletion starts and people feel a reduction in their living standards, and worse if people start to freeze in the dark, you will see people rioting in the streets as they demand that the government do something to return them to their comfort and pleasure. And ultimately they will not care where that comes from as long as government delivers, and spineless politicians will comply any way they can.
I'm pointing this out not because I want to keep the status quo. PO has destroyed any future I had planned, I would love for us to continue so I could retire like my father did, but it's no longer in the cards. I'm just pointing out what people will do, how people will react. The sooner everyone here realizes this, that sheeple are selfish mindless emotion driven animals (actually, it's an insult to wild animals to compare people to them like that, as wild animals have no choice how they behave, and generally will not screw you over), the better you will be able to prepare yourself, and the message.
Richard
Komoka
No one is ahead of their time, just the rest of humanity is slow to catch on.